{"id":34953,"date":"2022-07-08T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-07-08T07:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/festivaldelfuturo.eu\/?p=34953"},"modified":"2022-07-11T10:14:45","modified_gmt":"2022-07-11T08:14:45","slug":"la-vita-infinita-o-quasi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/festivaldelfuturo.eu\/en\/2022\/07\/08\/la-vita-infinita-o-quasi\/","title":{"rendered":"The infinite life (or almost)"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>Life expectancies continue to lengthen and, according to science, the possibility of living up to 200 years in good health is looming on the horizon. A comforting prospect but which must be prepared in time, by providing the appropriate tools.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><em>by Enrico Sassoon<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/festivaldelfuturo.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/james-hose-jr-6D58t6uZT5M-unsplash-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-34964\" srcset=\"https:\/\/festivaldelfuturo.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/james-hose-jr-6D58t6uZT5M-unsplash-980x735.jpg 980w, https:\/\/festivaldelfuturo.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/james-hose-jr-6D58t6uZT5M-unsplash-480x360.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1024px, 100vw\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The dream of immortality, or at least of a very long life rewarded by a state of unalterable youth, has been part of the individual and collective psyche from the very beginning. And it could not be otherwise, given the <strong>brevity of human experience<\/strong>, itself already limited, when not further shortened by <strong>events<\/strong> <strong>traumatic<\/strong>, such as accidents, wars or illnesses. Remember the epic of Gilgamesh? It&#039;s a 4000 year old saga of Babylon. Volumes of it have been written, fascinating theatrical versions have been staged. In Gilgamesh, an apparently immortal old man reveals the existence of a plant on the bottom of the sea capable of giving eternal youth. Gilgamesh wants to give it to humanity, he looks for it, finds it but, in resting after the adventure, he is robbed of it by a snake. The reptile will live forever and Gilgamesh grows old in despair and dies, and such remains the fate of his offspring to this day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The saga is on the verge of written history. But since then the myths have been wasted. Eos, goddess of the dawn, asks Zeus to give immortality to Titone with whom she fell in love. Wish granted, but the spiteful king of the Gods grants immortality but not youth and Eos will live forever with an increasingly decrepit companion. Thetis points to Achilles&#039; immortality and plunges him into the Styx, holding him by the heel. Homer tells us how it ended. Methuselah touches, in the Old Testament, the 969 years of age, worthy son of his father Enoch who generates dozens of children in his 365 years of life. A secular declination of some interest: that of <strong>Henokiens<\/strong>, as the heirs of Enoch say, it is today an exclusive association of 22 family businesses that boast over 200 years of history; among them Italian companies such as Beretta and Amarelli, even if the palm of the oldest goes to the Shoshi ryokan, active since 700 AD always within the same family.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let&#039;s jump to modern times. Famous is the myth of Faust, told in the great world literature by Goethe, Marlowe and others, set to music by Gounod and first brought to the screens by Murnau. And, again, the disturbing story of Dorian Gray from the pen of Oscar Wilde, transposed on the screens in a film with Angela Lansbury that 70 years ago obtained the Oscar. And then the recent film <em>The Age of Adaline<\/em>, which in the Italian title becomes significantly <em>Adaline. Eternal youth<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And let&#039;s jump to the present day. Immortality seems to come out of the myth and, for some, it becomes a goal. In the headlines, news stories of tycoons of technology or finance pouring billions into the search for the formulas of youth, prolonged if not eternal, are recurrent. They are Jeff Bezos of Amazon, Elon Musk of Tesla, and above all of SpaceX and Neuralink; but also of Bill Gates of Microsoft. Some, like the first two, look quite prosaically to their own personal eternity; others, like Gates with his foundation, to the destinies of humanity. The minimum objective would seem to be longevity, that is the extension of human life up to 150 years, but also 200 or even 500. But there is also the ambition of eternity, and in this case it is not a miraculous plant. at the bottom of the sea, but of a massive research to which thousands of scientists are dedicated. Again, the goal is longevity, but also perennial youth; after all, however, there is also a glimpse of a sort of immortality.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For many it is money thrown to the wind, pastimes for the rich, overcrowded and spoiled, in love with themselves to the point of rejecting the somewhat annoying idea of their own finitude. To what purpose, those greats seem to be wondering, boasting a fortune of 100 and even more billions of dollars if life is so short? In fact, the pursuit of the mechanisms of youth is <strong>scientific question<\/strong> very serious and based on research that has already brought extraordinary results and that promise to bring many more in the coming years and decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3><strong>Longevity is serious business<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>There are many phenomena that converge to lead to consider longevity goals a fact of solid reality. Human life is getting longer every day, in advanced countries as well as in developing ones. <strong>Better and richer nutrition, tremendous advances in health, the spread of education, fewer accidents and fewer victims of wars are among the factors contributing to the outcome.<\/strong>. Consequence: global population living longer, with life expectancy doubling from 40 to 80 years in many areas and in less than a century. And an increasing global population: from less than 2 billion a century ago to <strong>7.5 today and 10, or possibly 11, billion in 2050<\/strong>. In this context, the proportion and number of <strong>seniors over 65<\/strong>. And its value is discovered, because older yes, but also healthier, more active, richer than other segments of the population, with new needs and new spending capacities. In America, the expression is coined that &quot;60 is the new 40&quot;. This cohort of over 65 is now spoken of as a new Eldorado ready to explode and it has been creatively baptized the<em> silver economy<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let&#039;s fix the ideas: as Odile Robotti and Andrea Granelli wrote on <em>Harvard Business Review Italia<\/em> in the article titled &quot;The Silver Bullet,&quot; the global increase in the elderly population accelerates and is no longer just a first world phenomenon. The elderly, currently the <strong>12% of the world population<\/strong>, will almost double by 2050. No wonder, therefore, that, in the US alone, over 7 trillion a year are already worth as a cluster (estimates by Merrill Lynch), that is, slightly less than China and more than Japan. The spending power of this demographic group already exceeds 15 trillion globally today. In addition to being numerically on the rise, in fact, the elderly in general have a <strong>good<\/strong> <strong>income<\/strong> <strong>available<\/strong> - often higher than that of their children - who spend to stay active and engaged. This discontinuity with respect to previous generations in lifestyles and, consequently, in consumption, means that in the USA and Japan already in 2030 the so-called <em>longevity sector<\/em> it will be worth more than half of the GDP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And Italy, in this context, is reaping its laurels. Already today it has many elderly people: the 29% of the population is over 60 years old, while more than the 23% is made up of people over 65. The percentage will increase further: ours is one of the countries where life expectancy is highest in the world, 85 years for women and 80.2 for men according to the most recent statistics. In this way, the over 65s are expected to rise to 34% in 2050. Only Japan and Germany are aging faster than us: we are practically a bronze medal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Each coin, of course, has its downside. These primates put a strain on the <strong>system<\/strong> <strong>pension<\/strong> and the seal of <strong>welfare<\/strong>. Living longer is a blessing, but on the condition that you can live further years and decades in a protected and pleasant way. To this end, several years ago Linda Gratton and Andrew Scott invited, in their book <em>The 100-Year Life<\/em>, to become aware of the evolution underway and stressed the need to prepare for a longer life by appropriately managing savings, movable and real estate, future financial flows, the relationship with children and grandchildren, the construction of a network of social relationships of support. And, of course, an appropriate health plan based on a partly public and partly private scheme. A new book by the two authors is even more focused and precise, <em>The new longevity<\/em>, which concretely defines the path that our societies will have to take in order to face the revolution of the age.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From this point of view, the public welfare systems are clearly not only an insufficient portion to support such prolonged existences, but also a decreasing portion. Hence the expansion of supplementary savings and pension systems, designed and proposed to rationally program the resources desired for a longer, healthier and happier existence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3><strong>Targeted innovation<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The elderly as consumers are, and increasingly will be, an important market, and their unmet needs can be a source of <strong>innovation<\/strong> in products \/ services and business models. And, last but not least, they are a workforce reservoir for organizations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Take, for example, the delay in infrastructure and services for the elderly. According to the Global Age Watch index of some time ago, for example Italy is in 39th place for the quality of life of seniors. It is a negative point but, at the same time, it represents an opportunity for those who will fill the offer gap.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The cities themselves will have to be rethought to the extent of advanced elderly age: from the type of steps (those that are too high are not good) to the presence of more public seating to allow rest breaks for seniors who walk. Another area of enormous opportunities are technologies for the elderly, especially digital ones, which are having a real boom, so much so that they have become a priority for the European Union: home banking has been a real <em>killer<\/em> <em>application<\/em> of the third age; the <em>medical device<\/em> remotely connected, they have already begun a path destined to soon become a triumphal march. Who will be able to develop <strong>technological products<\/strong> with a specific design for this target has excellent prospects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To this it should be added that the services for seniors, which affect many product sectors (health, continuing education, finance, insurance, etc.), remain highly fragmented, leaving room for market consolidation by <em>business integrator <\/em>able to group small entities to grasp economies of scale and scope. Finally, the shortage of skilled workers which will inevitably affect our economies, and which is already being felt, could be filled by seniors called back into service thanks to flexible formulas adapted to their needs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Their <strong>needs will have to be understood more and more deeply<\/strong> by companies to provide successful products and services and only people of the same age will be able to do so effectively and comprehensively. In fact, as Luigi Pintor noted a few years ago: \u00abA great deal has been written about senility, Latin philosophers and modern novelists, but it is a condition that cannot be understood through an intermediary. You enter a foreign and unexpected body. No one can get an idea of this mutation without experiencing it, just as no one can conceive of an ant without being one \u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3><strong>The promises of science<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>All right. we will live longer, perhaps much longer. How much? Beyond the <em>rumors<\/em>, what does science say? Surprisingly, even if perhaps not for everyone, science believes in it: it is possible not only to lengthen human life, but also to reverse the biological clock. That is, at least <strong>stop the aging mechanism<\/strong> but also, and it is already a reality, to reverse it and cause cell rejuvenation. A very recent book by Andrew Steele exhibits the title of <em>Ageless. <\/em>But more significant is the subtitle:<em> The New Science of Getting Older Without Getting Old<\/em>, which is what the new science can do to allow you to age without becoming old. But what does it mean? It means that, no less, according to the author&#039;s excellent synthesis, science and technology have reached a turning point that is leading humanity to the threshold of a sort of &quot;biological immortality&quot;, thanks to therapies that can lead to a state of &quot;negligible senescence&quot;. Through genetic manipulation, it will be possible to arrive, in a relatively short time, at therapies aimed not at the prevention of the single pathology, be it cancer, diabetes, cardiovascular diseases and neurological degenerations, now inevitably connected to the progress of age. Rather, to modify and block the aging process itself, and perhaps reverse it: in some varieties of insects and mice, research has already done it and it is not clear why it cannot, in a very short time, also benefit humans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The synthesis is fascinating and science fiction, and it is worth reiterating: by preventing aging, all the pathologies brought about by age are prevented in one fell swoop and the very concept of specific therapy for a single disease is eliminated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A learned article published in April 2021 caused a sensation <em>The New York Times <\/em>entitled &quot;Can We Live to 200 Years?&quot;. The answer, essentially affirmative, is articulated in a long list of the steps that medicine will be able to accomplish in the coming years. And for the next few years we mean both the short and medium term, ie between the next 5 and 30 years, and the long and very long term, ie between the next 30 and 100 years. Too long a horizon? Definitely not, if you consider that life expectancy is already getting longer by one month every year and that the number of over-one-hundred-year-olds rises with a very steep curve. A concluding anecdote makes this evolution concrete: until a few years ago the Japanese government rewarded the passage of 100 years by giving a gold coin to each lucky person. Today, with several thousand neo-centenarians every year, the coveted prize has been canceled. Japan renews the compliments, but the treasury coffers can no longer afford it.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le aspettative di vita continuano ad allungarsi e, secondo la scienza, all\u2019orizzonte si profila la possibilit\u00e0 di vivere anche fino a 200 anni in buone condizioni di salute. Una prospettiva confortante ma che va preparata per tempo, predisponendo gli strumenti appropriati. di Enrico Sassoon Il sogno dell\u2019immortalit\u00e0, o quantomeno di una vita molto lunga premiata [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":214,"featured_media":34964,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"off","_et_pb_old_content":"<!-- wp:html -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img src=\"https:\/\/festivaldelfuturo.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/Computer-quantistici2-2-1024x549.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-34773\" width=\"NaN\" height=\"NaN\"><\/figure><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:html -->\n\n<!-- wp:heading {\"level\":3} -->\n<h3>Per molti, certo la maggioranza, i computer quantistici restano un mistero. Il che non sorprende perch\u00e9 \u00e8 la stessa fisica quantistica a risultare poco digeribile ai pi\u00f9. Lo stesso Einstein la considerava di una complessit\u00e0 teorica quasi indecifrabile. Ma i computer quantistici sono comunque gi\u00e0 una realt\u00e0 concreta, anche se per poterli utilizzare efficacemente ci vorr\u00e0 un po\u2019 pi\u00f9 di tempo di quanto non ci si aspettasse.<\/h3>\n<!-- \/wp:heading -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Ma a cosa serviranno questi super computer, capaci di eclissare i calcolatori attuali e sostanzialmente mandarli in soffitta? Alcuni usi sono rendere molto pi\u00f9 veloce la <strong>scoperta<\/strong> <strong>di<\/strong> <strong>nuovi<\/strong> <strong>farmaci<\/strong>, rendere le <strong>previsioni<\/strong> <strong>meteorologiche<\/strong> sempre pi\u00f9 precise e localizzate, potenziare a livelli finora sconosciuti <strong>l\u2019intelligenza<\/strong> <strong>artificiale<\/strong> e altro ancora.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Sono queste alcune delle potenzialit\u00e0 attribuite a questi rivoluzionari calcolatori, non pi\u00f9 basati sui bit, ma sui qubit (quantum bit). Queste unit\u00e0 digitali sfruttano due note propriet\u00e0 della meccanica quantistica \u2013 la&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/it.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Principio_di_sovrapposizione\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">sovrapposizione<\/a>&nbsp;e&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/it.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Entanglement_quantistico\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">l'entanglement<\/a>&nbsp;\u2013 per aumentare esponenzialmente la velocit\u00e0 di calcolo e risolvere problemi che anche per i pi\u00f9 potenti supercomputer del mondo sarebbero impossibili (o richiederebbero un tempo irragionevolmente lungo).<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>La pi\u00f9 nota applicazione potenziale dei computer quantistici - dimostrata teoricamente da Peter Shor nel 1994 - \u00e8 la capacit\u00e0 di decifrare anche gli algoritmi crittografati utilizzati, per esempio, nel settore dei bitcoin, delle transazioni finanziarie su internet e delle firme digitali. Potenzialit\u00e0 che ha naturalmente attirato molta attenzione. Per\u00f2 c\u2019\u00e8 un problema: nessuno ancora oggi \u00e8 in grado di produrre concretamente un computer quantistico in grado di fare cose del genere e non c\u2019\u00e8 modo di sapere quando sar\u00e0 possibile.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Cosa dire, allora, dell\u2019era della\u00a0supremazia quantistica, annunciata da Google nel 2019 quando il suo computer Sycamore era effettivamente riuscito a risolvere in pochi minuti un calcolo che per un tradizionale computer avrebbe richiesto centinaia di anni? Si trattava, in realt\u00e0, di una dimostrazione priva di applicazioni pratiche e progettata dai ricercatori al solo scopo di mostrare le potenzialit\u00e0 del dispositivo e che serviva a dimostrare che questi computer possono effettivamente fare cose impossibili per quelli tradizionali sfruttando esperimenti progettati esattamente a questo scopo.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Di recente,&nbsp;il docente di Fisica quantistica Sankar Das Sarma ha scritto sulla&nbsp;<em>Technology Review<\/em>&nbsp;del MIT: \u201cI computer quantistici pi\u00f9 avanzati oggi hanno qualche dozzina di qubit fisici che causano <strong>decoerenza<\/strong> (o rumore). Costruire un computer quantistico in grado di decifrare codici RSA da tali componenti richiederebbe molti milioni se non miliardi di qubit. Solo decine di migliaia di questi verrebbero utilizzati per il calcolo, i cosiddetti qubit logici; il resto sarebbe necessario per correggere gli errori, compensando la decoerenza\u201d.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>La&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.scientificamerican.com\/observations\/decoherence-is-a-problem-for-quantum-computing-but\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">decoerenza<\/a><strong>, ha spiegato Signorelli in un recente articolo su&nbsp;<em>La Repubblica<\/em>,<\/strong>&nbsp;\u00e8 il fenomeno che provoca, a causa dell\u2019interazione tra i qubit e l\u2019ambiente che li circonda, il decadimento degli stati quantistici prima che il lavoro dei qubit venga portato a termine. Questo stato \u00e8 infatti estremamente delicato: le pi\u00f9 piccole vibrazioni (anche una collisione tra particelle d\u2019aria) o dei minimi cambiamenti nella temperatura possono far uscire i qubit anticipatamente dalla sovrapposizione in cui si trovano, fornendo risultati completamente casuali. \u00c8 per questo che, per esempio, il <strong>Q System One di IBM<\/strong> \u00e8 protetto da una teca di vetro a chiusura ermetica munita di un sistema di raffreddamento prossimo allo zero assoluto.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Occorre dunque ricordare che i pi\u00f9 avanzati computer quantistici di oggi hanno qualche <strong>decina di qubit fisici<\/strong>, mentre per ottenere i risultati promessi ne servirebbero milioni o miliardi. E la strada per arrivare fin l\u00ec \u00e8 dunque ancora piuttosto lunga e l\u2019avvento di veri e propri computer quantistici potrebbe essere molto pi\u00f9 distante di quanto solitamente non si dica.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Il raggiungimento della supremazia quantistica ci ha comunque proiettati in una nuova era, definita dagli scienziati <strong>NISQ<\/strong> (<em>noisy intermediate-scale quantum<\/em>), intendendo la possibilit\u00e0 di sviluppare computer quantistici di taglia intermedia \u2013 cio\u00e8 con un numero ancora limitato di qubit \u2013 pur sapendo che il rumore di fondo ci permetter\u00e0 di avere soltanto un controllo parziale sui risultati che si possono ottenere. Non ancora dei computer quantistici perfetti, quindi, ma comunque utili, anche se lo stesso Das Sarma nutre qualche dubbio: \u201cL\u2019idea \u00e8 che delle piccole raccolte di qubit fisici rumorosi potrebbe comunque fare qualcosa di utile e meglio di quanto non possa fare un classico computer, ma non siamo sicuri di molte cose: quanto rumorosi? Quanti qubit? \u00c8 davvero un computer? Quali problemi degni di nota potrebbe risolvere questa macchina Nisq?\u201d.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Gli esperimenti finora condotti tramite Nisq non avrebbero mostrato sostanziali vantaggi rispetto ai computer tradizionali o comunque - eccezion fatta per ambiti di ricerca molto specifici - non hanno alcun potenziale di commercializzazione. Ci sono state proposte relativo all\u2019uso di computer quantistici su piccola scala per la progettazione di farmaci o per aiutare nel campo della finanza, ma nessun paper tecnico ha finora offerto dimostrazioni convincenti che dei computer quantistici,&nbsp;incluse le macchine NISQ, possano portare ottimizzazioni significative.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Per quanto si parli spesso dei computer quantistici come se fossero in procinto di rivoluzionare il mondo, dunque, la realt\u00e0 \u00e8 ben diversa. Potremmo essere ancora all\u2019inizio della strada e a decenni di distanza dal realizzare quelli che, a quanto pare, sono ancora sogni.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->","_et_gb_content_width":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[692,17,241,83,693,694],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>La vita infinita (o quasi) - Festival del Futuro<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le aspettative di vita continuano ad allungarsi e, secondo la scienza, all\u2019orizzonte si profila la possibilit\u00e0 di vivere anche fino a 200 anni in buone condizioni di salute. 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